⧼exchistory⧽
16 exercise(s) shown, 0 hidden
ABy Admin
May 25'23

You are given the following results from a regression model.

Observation number (i) [math]y_i[/math] [math]\hat{f}(x_i) [/math]
1 2 4
2 5 3
3 6 9
4 8 3
5 4 6

Calculate the sum of squared errors (SSE).

  • -35
  • -5
  • 5
  • 35
  • 46

Copyright 2023. The Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, Illinois. Reproduced with permission.

ABy Admin
May 25'23

Determine which of the following statements is/are true for a simple linear relationship,

[[math]]y = \beta_0 + \beta_1x + \epsilon[[/math]]

  • If [math]\epsilon = 0[/math], the 95% confidence interval is equal to the 95% prediction interval.
  • The prediction interval is always at least as wide as the confidence interval.
  • The prediction interval quantifies the possible range for [math]\operatorname{E}(y | x).[/math]
  • I only
  • II only
  • III only
  • I, II, and III
  • The correct answer is not given by (A), (B), (C), or (D).

Copyright 2023. The Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, Illinois. Reproduced with permission.

ABy Admin
May 25'23

From an investigation of the residuals of fitting a linear regression by ordinary least squares it is clear that the spread of the residuals increases as the predicted values increase. Observed values of the dependent variable range from 0 to 100. Determine which of the following statements is/are true with regard to transforming the dependent variable to make the variance of the residuals more constant.

  • Taking the logarithm of one plus the value of the dependent variable may make the variance of the residuals more constant.
  • A square root transformation may make the variance of the residuals more constant.
  • A logit transformation may make the variance of the residuals more constant.
  • None
  • I and II only
  • I and III only
  • II and III only
  • The correct answer is not given by (A), (B), (C), or (D).

Copyright 2023. The Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, Illinois. Reproduced with permission.

ABy Admin
May 25'23

The regression model is [math]y =\beta_0 + \beta_1x + \epsilon.[/math] There are six observations.

The summary statistics are:

[[math]] \sum y_i = 8.5, \, \sum x_i = 6, \, \sum x_i^2 = 16, \sum x_iy_i = 15.5, \, \sum y_i^2 = 17.25. [[/math]]

Calculate the least squares estimate of [math]\beta_1[/math].

  • 0.1
  • 0.3
  • 0.5
  • 0.7
  • 0.9

Copyright 2023. The Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, Illinois. Reproduced with permission.

ABy Admin
May 25'23

For a simple linear regression model the sum of squares of the residuals is

[[math]] \sum_{i=1}^{25}e_i^2 = 230 [[/math]]

and the [math]R^2[/math] statistic is 0.64.

Calculate the total sum of squares (TSS) for this model.

  • 605.94
  • 638.89
  • 690.77
  • 701.59
  • 750.87

Copyright 2023. The Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, Illinois. Reproduced with permission.

ABy Admin
May 25'23

Sarah performs a regression of the return on a mutual fund (y) on four predictors plus an intercept. She uses monthly returns over 105 months. Her software calculates the F statistic for the regression as F = 20.0, but then it quits working before it calculates the value of [math]R^2[/math] . While she waits on hold with the help desk, she tries to calculate [math]R^2[/math] from the F-statistic.

Determine which of the following statements about the attempted calculation is true.

  • There is insufficient information, but it could be calculated if she had the value of the residual sum of squares (RSS).
  • There is insufficient information, but it could be calculated if she had the value of the total sum of squares (TSS) and RSS.
  • [math]R^2 = 0.44 [/math]
  • [math]R^2 = 0.56 [/math]
  • [math]R^2 = 0.80 [/math]

Copyright 2023. The Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, Illinois. Reproduced with permission.

ABy Admin
May 25'23

Two actuaries are analyzing dental claims for a group of n = 100 participants. The predictor variable is sex, with 0 and 1 as possible values.

Actuary 1 uses the following regression model:

[[math]] Y = \beta + \epsilon. [[/math]]

Actuary 2 uses the following regression model:

[[math]] Y = \beta_0 + \beta_1 \times \textrm{Sex} + \epsilon. [[/math]]

The residual sum of squares for the regression of Actuary 2 is 250,000 and the total sum of squares is 490,000.

Calculate the F-statistic to test whether the model of Actuary 2 is a significant improvement over the model of Actuary 1.

  • 92
  • 93
  • 94
  • 95
  • 96

Copyright 2023. The Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, Illinois. Reproduced with permission.

ABy Admin
May 25'23

You are given the following summary statistics:

[[math]] \begin{aligned} \overline{x} &= 3.500 \\ \overline{y} &= 2.840 \\ \sum (x_i - \overline{x})^2 &= 10.820 \\ \sum (x_i - \overline{x} ) (y_i - \overline{y}) &= 2.677 \\ \sum (y_i - \overline{y})^2 &= 1.125. \end{aligned} [[/math]]

Determine the equation of the regression line, using the least squares method.

  • [math]y=1.97 + 0.25x [/math]
  • [math]y =0.78 + 0.59x [/math]
  • [math] y = 0.57 + 0.65 xy 0.39 + 0.70 x [/math]
  • [math]y = 0.39 + 0.70x [/math]
  • The correct answer is not given by (A), (B), (C), or (D).

Copyright 2023. The Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, Illinois. Reproduced with permission.

ABy Admin
May 25'23

Trish runs a regression on a data set of n observations. She then calculates a 95% confidence interval [math](t, u)[/math] on [math]y[/math] for a given set of predictors. She also calculates a 95% prediction interval [math](v, w)[/math] on [math]y[/math] for the same set of predictors.

Determine which of the following must be true.

  • [math]\lim_{n \rightarrow \infty} (u-t) = 0[/math]
  • [math]\lim_{n \rightarrow \infty} (w-v) = 0[/math]
  • [math]w-v \gt u-t[/math]
  • None
  • I and II only
  • I and III only
  • II and III only
  • The correct answer is not given by (A), (B), (C), or (D).

Copyright 2023. The Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, Illinois. Reproduced with permission.

ABy Admin
May 25'23

Determine which of the following statements is NOT true about the equation

[[math]] Y = \beta_0 + \beta_1X + \epsilon [[/math]]

  • [math]\beta_0[/math] is the expected value of [math]Y[/math] .
  • [math]\beta_1 [/math] is the average increase in [math]Y[/math] associated with a one-unit increase in [math]X[/math].
  • The error term, [math]\epsilon[/math] , is typically assumed to be independent of [math]X[/math].
  • The equation defines the population regression line.
  • The method of least squares is commonly used to estimate the coefficients [math]\beta_0[/math] and [math]\beta_1[/math].

Copyright 2023. The Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, Illinois. Reproduced with permission.