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You are given:

  1. The number of claims has a Poisson distribution.
  2. Claim sizes have a Pareto distribution with parameters [math]\theta = 0.5 [/math] and [math]\alpha = 6[/math]
  3. The number of claims and claim sizes are independent.
  4. The observed average total payment should be within 2% of the expected average total payment 90% of the time.

Calculate the expected number of claims needed for full credibility.

  • Less than 7,000
  • At least 7,000, but less than 10,000
  • At least 10,000, but less than 13,000
  • At least 13,000, but less than 16,000
  • At least 16,000

Copyright 2023. The Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, Illinois. Reproduced with permission.

  • Created by Admin, May 13'23

You are given the following information about a commercial auto liability book of business:

  1. Each insured’s claim count has a Poisson distribution with mean [math]\lambda [/math] , where [math]\lambda [/math] has a gamma distribution with [math]\alpha = 1.5[/math] and [math]\theta = 0.2 [/math].
  2. Individual claim size amounts are independent and exponentially distributed with mean 5000.
  3. The full credibility standard is for aggregate losses to be within 5% of the expected with probability 0.90.


Calculate the expected number of claims required for full credibility using limited fluctuated credibility.

  • 2165
  • 2381
  • 3514
  • 7216
  • 7938

Copyright 2023. The Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, Illinois. Reproduced with permission.

  • Created by Admin, May 13'23

You are given the following information about a general liability book of business comprised of 2500 insureds:

  1. [math]X_i = \sum_{j=1}^{N_i}Y_{ij} [/math] is a random variable representing the annual loss of the ith insured.
  2. [math]N_1,N_2,\ldots,N_{2500}[/math] are independent and identically distributed random variables following a negative binomial distribution with parameters [math]r = 2[/math] and [math]\beta = 0.2[/math].
  3. [math]Y_{i1},Y_{i2},\ldots,Y_{iN}[/math] are independent and identically distributed random variables following a Pareto distribution with [math]\alpha = 3[/math] and [math]\theta = 1000 [/math].
  4. The full credibility standard is to be within 5% of the expected aggregate losses 90% of the time.

Calculate the partial credibility of the annual loss experience for this book of business using limited fluctuation credibility theory.

  • 0.34
  • 0.42
  • 0.47
  • 0.50
  • 0.53

Copyright 2023. The Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, Illinois. Reproduced with permission.

  • Created by Admin, May 13'23

You are given:


  1. The number of claims has probability function:

[[math]] p(x) = \binom{m}{x}q^x(1-q)^{m-x}, \, x = 0,1,\ldots,m [[/math]]

  1. The actual number of claims must be within 1% of the expected number of claims with probability 0.95.
  2. The expected number of claims for full credibility is 34,574.

Calculate q.

  • 0.05
  • 0.10
  • 0.20
  • 0.40
  • 0.80

Copyright 2023. The Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, Illinois. Reproduced with permission.

  • Created by Admin, May 13'23

A company has determined that the limited fluctuation full credibility standard is 2000 claims if:

  1. The total number of claims is to be within 3% of the true value with probability p.
  2. The number of claims follows a Poisson distribution.

The standard is changed so that the total cost of claims is to be within 5% of the true value with probability p, where claim severity has probability density function:

[[math]] f(x) = \frac{1}{10,000}, \, 0 \leq x \leq 10,000 [[/math]]

Calculate the expected number of claims necessary to obtain full credibility under the new standard using limited fluctuation credibility.

  • 720
  • 960
  • 2160
  • 2667
  • 2880

Copyright 2023. The Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, Illinois. Reproduced with permission.

  • Created by Admin, May 13'23