⧼exchistory⧽
To view all exercises, please subscribe to guide
17 exercise(s) shown, 21 hidden

You are given:

  1. Losses follow a single-parameter Pareto distribution with density function:
    [[math]]f(x) = \frac{\alpha}{x^{\alpha+1}}, \, x\gt1, \, 0 \lt \alpha \lt \infty [[/math]]
  2. A random sample of size five produced three losses with values 3, 6 and 14, and two losses exceeding 25.

Calculate the maximum likelihood estimate of [math]\alpha [/math]

  • 0.25
  • 0.30
  • 0.34
  • 0.38
  • 0.42

Copyright 2023. The Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, Illinois. Reproduced with permission.

  • Created by Admin, May 13'23

You are given:

  1. Low-hazard risks have an exponential claim size distribution with mean [math]\theta[/math].
  2. Medium-hazard risks have an exponential claim size distribution with mean [math]2 \theta [/math].
  3. High-hazard risks have an exponential claim size distribution with mean [math]3 \theta [/math] .
  4. No claims from low-hazard risks are observed.
  5. Three claims from medium-hazard risks are observed, of sizes 1, 2 and 3.
  6. One claim from a high-hazard risk is observed, of size 15.

Calculate the maximum likelihood estimate of [math]\theta[/math].

  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5

Copyright 2023. The Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, Illinois. Reproduced with permission.

  • Created by Admin, May 13'23

The number of claims follows a negative binomial distribution with parameters [math]\beta[/math] and r, where [math]\beta[/math] is unknown and r is known. You wish to estimate [math]\beta[/math] based on [math]n[/math] observations, where [math]x[/math] is the mean of these observations.

Determine the maximum likelihood estimate of [math]\beta[/math] .

  • [math]\frac{\overline{x}}{r^2}[/math]
  • [math]\frac{\overline{x}}{r}[/math]
  • [math]\overline{x}[/math]
  • [math]r\overline{x}[/math]
  • [math]r^2\overline{x}[/math]

Copyright 2023. The Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, Illinois. Reproduced with permission.

  • Created by Admin, May 13'23

You are given:

  1. Losses follow an exponential distribution with mean [math]\theta[/math] .
  2. A random sample of 20 losses is distributed as follows:


Loss Range Frequency
[0, 1000] 7
(1000, 2000] 6
(2000, [math]\infty[/math]) 7


Calculate the maximum likelihood estimate of [math]\theta[/math].

  • Less than 1950
  • At least 1950, but less than 2100
  • At least 2100, but less than 2250
  • At least 2250, but less than 2400
  • At least 2400

Copyright 2023. The Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, Illinois. Reproduced with permission.

  • Created by Admin, May 13'23

You observe the following five ground-up claims from a data set that is truncated from below at 100:

125   150   165   175   250

You fit a ground-up exponential distribution using maximum likelihood estimation.

Calculate the mean of the fitted distribution.

  • 73
  • 100
  • 125
  • 156
  • 173

Copyright 2023. The Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, Illinois. Reproduced with permission.

  • Created by Admin, May 13'23

Losses come from a mixture of an exponential distribution with mean 100 with probability p and an exponential distribution with mean 10,000 with probability 1 − p.

Losses of 100 and 2000 are observed.

Determine the likelihood function of p.

  • [math]\left (\frac{pe^{-1}}{100} \frac{(1-p)e^{-0.01}}{10,000}\right) \left( \frac{pe^{-20}}{100}\frac{(1-p)e^{-0.2}}{10,000}\right)[/math]
  • [math]\left (\frac{pe^{-1}}{100} \frac{(1-p)e^{-0.01}}{10,000}\right) + \left( \frac{pe^{-20}}{100}\frac{(1-p)e^{-0.2}}{10,000}\right)[/math]
  • [math]\left (\frac{pe^{-1}}{100}+ \frac{(1-p)e^{-0.01}}{10,000}\right) \left( \frac{pe^{-20}}{100} + \frac{(1-p)e^{-0.2}}{10,000}\right)[/math]
  • [math]\left (\frac{pe^{-1}}{100} +\frac{(1-p)e^{-0.01}}{10,000}\right) + \left( \frac{pe^{-20}}{100}+\frac{(1-p)e^{-0.2}}{10,000}\right)[/math]
  • [math]p\left (\frac{pe^{-1}}{100} +\frac{(1-p)e^{-0.01}}{10,000}\right) + (1-p)\left( \frac{pe^{-20}}{100}+\frac{(1-p)e^{-0.2}}{10,000}\right)[/math]

Copyright 2023. The Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, Illinois. Reproduced with permission.

  • Created by Admin, May 13'23

You are given the following three observations:

0.74  0.81  0.95

You fit a distribution with the following density function to the data:

[[math]] f(x) = (p+1)x^p, \, 0 \lt x \lt 1, p \gt -1. [[/math]]

Calculate the maximum likelihood estimate of [math]p[/math].

  • 4.0
  • 4.1
  • 4.2
  • 4.3
  • 4.4

Copyright 2023. The Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, Illinois. Reproduced with permission.

  • Created by Admin, May 13'23

You are given:

  1. The number of claims follows a Poisson distribution with mean [math]\lambda [/math] .
  2. Observations other than 0 and 1 have been deleted from the data.
  3. The data contain an equal number of observations of 0 and 1.

Calculate the maximum likelihood estimate of [math]\lambda [/math] .

  • 0.50
  • 0.75
  • 1.00
  • 1.25
  • 1.50

Copyright 2023. The Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, Illinois. Reproduced with permission.

  • Created by Admin, May 13'23

You are given the following 20 bodily injury losses before the deductible is applied:

Loss Number of Losses Deductible Policy Limit
750 3 200 [math]\infty[/math]
200 3 0 10,000
300 4 0 20,000
>10,000 6 0 10,000
400 4 300 [math]\infty[/math]

Past experience indicates that these losses follow a Pareto distribution with parameters [math]\alpha [/math] and [math]\theta = 10,000 [/math].

Calculate the maximum likelihood estimate of [math]\alpha [/math].

  • Less than 2.0
  • At least 2.0, but less than 3.0
  • At least 3.0, but less than 4.0
  • At least 4.0, but less than 5.0
  • At least 5.0

Copyright 2023. The Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, Illinois. Reproduced with permission.

  • Created by Admin, May 13'23

Personal auto property damage claims in a certain region are known to follow the Weibull distribution:

[[math]] F(x) = 1 - \exp \left[-(\frac{x}{\theta})^{0.2}\right], \, x \gt 0 [[/math]]

A sample of four claims is:

130  240  300  540

The values of two additional claims are known to exceed 1000.

Calculate the maximum likelihood estimate of [math]\theta[/math].

  • Less than 300
  • At least 300, but less than 1200
  • At least 1200, but less than 2100
  • At least 2100, but less than 3000
  • At least 3000

Copyright 2023. The Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, Illinois. Reproduced with permission.

  • Created by Admin, May 13'23